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Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 67.79%1.48momio equitativo
EV -0.344%
Ventaja -0.234%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%67.50%67.82%69.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.411.411.4773.53%70.69%70.92%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)
Predicción 32.21%3.10momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +0.957%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.89%32.50%32.18%34.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.2037.04%33.99%33.90%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 67.79%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 32.21%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.10. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.06%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +3.06%E +0.957%K +1.39%G +0.043% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +1.45%E +0.461%K +0.675%G +0.010% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +0.807%E +0.258%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -0.804%E -0.261%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.74%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.12%E -5.20%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.63%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 15:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.24%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.344%E -0.234%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |