语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 67.79%1.48公平赔率
EV -0.344%
优势 -0.234%
Kelly -0.731%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.47
博彩公司预测分布
65.06%67.50%67.82%69.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.411.411.4773.53%70.69%70.92%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
Toronto Blue Jays (客队)
预测 32.21%3.10公平赔率
EV +3.06%
优势 +0.957%
Kelly +1.39%
增长率 +0.043%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
30.89%32.50%32.18%34.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.942.953.2037.04%33.99%33.90%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：67.79%；Toronto Blue Jays (客队)：32.21%。 对于“Toronto Blue Jays (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.10。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.20，对应+3.06%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +3.06%E +0.957%K +1.39%G +0.043% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +1.45%E +0.461%K +0.675%G +0.010% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +0.807%E +0.258%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -0.804%E -0.261%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.74%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.12%E -5.20%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.63%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 15:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.24%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.344%E -0.234%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |