預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies v Toronto Blue Jays

開賽時間: 2026-08-09 17:36 UTC

最終賽果: Philadelphia Phillies 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies (主隊)

預測 67.79%1.48公平賠率
EV -0.344%
優勢 -0.234%
Kelly -0.731%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.47

博彩公司預測分布
65.06%67.50%67.82%69.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.411.411.4773.53%70.69%70.92%68.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Toronto Blue Jays (客隊)

預測 32.21%3.10公平賠率
EV +3.06%
優勢 +0.957%
Kelly +1.39%
成長率 +0.043%

假設最高賠率為 3.20

博彩公司預測分布
30.89%32.50%32.18%34.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.702.942.953.2037.04%33.99%33.90%31.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Philadelphia Phillies (主隊):67.79%;Toronto Blue Jays (客隊):32.21%。 對於「Toronto Blue Jays (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.10的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.20,對應+3.06%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +3.06%E +0.957%K +1.39%G +0.043%1.2%2026-08-09 17:34
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +1.45%E +0.461%K +0.675%G +0.010%2.7%2026-08-09 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +0.807%E +0.258%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.4%2026-08-09 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.159%E -0.051%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -0.804%E -0.261%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 17:35
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 16:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 17:30
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 17:34
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.580%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 17:10
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.74%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 15:45
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:23
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.12%E -5.20%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 15:45
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:44
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:45
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:34
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.41%E -3.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.63%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 15:09
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.73%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 16:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 17:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.24%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:23
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.344%E -0.234%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 17:34
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:35
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.70%E -1.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 17:35
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39%0.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-08-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-09 16:10
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-09 17:35
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-09 17:20
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-08-09 16:55
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-08-09 17:34