Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 70.14%1.43fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.99%70.04%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4176.92%73.53%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 29.86%3.35fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.874%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%30.01%29.96%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.223.4534.48%31.30%31.06%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 70.14%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 29.86%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%EV +1.52%E +0.448%K +0.634%G +0.010% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.95%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 29.05%EV +0.627%E +0.186%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV +0.328%E +0.098%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 22:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 22:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -1.76%E -0.536%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.87%EV -1.10%E -0.782%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 30.13%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-21 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.66%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 21:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -2.50%E -1.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.05%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:37 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 22:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 20:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97% | -0.1% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |