Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-21 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 7–6 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 70.14%1.43odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.782%
Kelly -2.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.99%70.04%71.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.361.361.4176.92%73.53%73.53%70.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 29.86%3.35odd justa
EV +3.02%
Vantagem +0.874%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.27%30.01%29.96%32.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.193.223.4534.48%31.30%31.06%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 70.14%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 29.86%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.35. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037%2.5%2026-08-21 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037%2.5%2026-08-21 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%EV +1.52%E +0.448%K +0.634%G +0.010%0.8%2026-08-21 19:59
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.95%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.05%EV +0.627%E +0.186%K +0.265%G +0.002%2.1%2026-08-21 22:40
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV +0.328%E +0.098%K +0.139%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 22:35
Caesars🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-21 22:24
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 22:00
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 22:04
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:40
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:38
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -1.76%E -0.536%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-21 20:14
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.87%EV -1.10%E -0.782%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 30.13%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-21 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.66%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 21:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -2.50%E -1.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-21 19:59
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 20:45
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.05%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:34
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 20:24
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 20:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 20:25
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 22:00
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 20:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 22:39
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 20:14
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 22:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 22:37
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 21:29
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 22:22
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 22:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 20:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97%-0.1%2026-08-21 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-08-21 22:40
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-21 22:40
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-21 20:15
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-21 22:40
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-21 22:40
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-21 22:40
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-08-21 22:40