Idioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 70.14%1.43momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.782%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%69.99%70.04%71.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4176.92%73.53%73.53%70.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)
Predicción 29.86%3.35momio equitativo
EV +3.02%
Ventaja +0.874%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%30.01%29.96%32.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.193.223.4534.48%31.30%31.06%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 70.14%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 29.86%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.35. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.02%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%EV +1.52%E +0.448%K +0.634%G +0.010% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.95%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 29.05%EV +0.627%E +0.186%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV +0.328%E +0.098%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 22:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 22:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -1.76%E -0.536%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.87%EV -1.10%E -0.782%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 30.13%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-21 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.66%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 21:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -2.50%E -1.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.05%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:37 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 22:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 20:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97% | -0.1% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |