預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-21 22:41 UTC — MLB

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

69%

31%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies (主隊)

預測 68.99%1.45公平賠率

EV -0.651%

優勢 -0.452%

Kelly -1.48%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.44

博彩公司預測分布

65.63%69.01%68.85%70.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.331.391.391.4475.19%71.93%71.94%69.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

St. Louis Cardinals (客隊)

預測 31.01%3.23公平賠率

EV +2.32%

優勢 +0.704%

Kelly +1.01%

成長率 +0.023%

假設最高賠率為 3.30

博彩公司預測分布

29.61%30.99%31.15%34.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.753.063.053.3036.36%32.69%32.79%30.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Philadelphia Phillies (主隊)：68.99%；St. Louis Cardinals (客隊)：31.01%。對於「St. Louis Cardinals (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.23的公平十進位賠率。有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率；目前最佳賠率為3.30，因此產生+2.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +2.32%E +0.704%K +1.01%G +0.023%	0.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%EV +2.32%E +0.704%K +1.01%G +0.023%	1.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
DraftKings🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91%EV +1.70%E +0.520%K +0.747%G +0.013%	1.9%	2026-08-21 14:30
Caesars🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.10%E -2.95%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.774%E +0.238%K +0.344%G +0.003%	2.7%	2026-08-21 14:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -4.10%E -2.95%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV +0.464%E +0.143%K +0.207%G +0.001%	2.8%	2026-08-21 14:34
Pinnacle🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%EV -0.156%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-21 14:34
SportsBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000%	3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -0.466%E -0.145%K -0.211%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-21 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -2.72%E -1.93%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-21 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -2.72%E -1.93%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-21 14:30
1xBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -2.33%E -0.739%K -1.08%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-21 14:34
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.33%E -0.739%K -1.08%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-21 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.33%E -0.739%K -1.08%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-21 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.33%E -0.739%K -1.08%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-21 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.33%E -0.739%K -1.08%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-21 14:34
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.33%E -0.739%K -1.08%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-21 14:30
Everygame🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-08-21 14:32
BetUS🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.72%E -1.93%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-21 14:34
GTbets🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -2.72%E -1.93%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-21 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-21 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
Casumo🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
betPARX🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
Fanatics🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 14:35
TABtouch🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.86%E -5.08%K -19.60%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.88%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-21 14:38
ReBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.10%E -2.95%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-21 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.43%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.74%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-21 14:30
Coolbet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.10%E -2.95%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-21 14:34
TAB🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-21 14:39
BetAnything🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.72%E -1.93%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-21 14:30
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 14:29
Bet Right🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 14:34
PlayUp🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 14:29
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 14:28
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.10%E -2.95%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-21 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 14:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 14:39
betano_uk🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-21 14:38
Bet Victor🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-21 14:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.17%E -4.54%K -17.14%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-21 14:30
Grosvenor🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.24%E -6.20%K -24.97%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-21 14:30
Fliff🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.03%E -1.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-21 14:35
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-21 14:34
Betsson🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-21 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-21 14:30
NordicBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-21 14:39
LeoVegas🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.79%E -3.47%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-21 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.48%E -4.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-21 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.48%E -4.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.53%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-21 14:40
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.41%E -2.44%K -8.53%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.08%E -3.48%K -5.30%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-21 14:30
Neds🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -0.651%E -0.452%K -1.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-21 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -0.651%E -0.452%K -1.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-21 14:29
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.651%E -0.452%K -1.48%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.73%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 13:19

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
BetOpenly◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08%	3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92%	-0.2%	2026-08-21 14:34
Novig◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11%	3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89%	0.5%	2026-08-21 14:40
ProphetX◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%	0.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
Matchbook◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%	0.7%	2026-08-21 14:30
Kalshi◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%	3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%	0.9%	2026-08-21 14:35
Polymarket◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%	3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%	1.0%	2026-08-21 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%	1.2%	2026-08-21 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%	1.2%	2026-08-21 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%	1.2%	2026-08-21 14:35
Smarkets◎	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%	2.7%	2026-08-21 14:40

套利（9 種組合） +0.25%Dabble (AU) 1.44 (69.6%) / FanDuel 3.30 (30.4%)顯示全部 9 種組合

Philadelphia Phillies (主隊)	St. Louis Cardinals (客隊)	利潤率
Neds🎯 1.44 (69.6%)	Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)	+0.253%
Neds🎯 1.44 (69.6%)	FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)	+0.253%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.44 (69.6%)	Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)	+0.253%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.44 (69.6%)	FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)	+0.253%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.44 (69.6%)	Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)	+0.253%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.44 (69.6%)	FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)	+0.253%
Neds🎯 1.44 (69.5%)	DraftKings🎯 3.28 (30.5%)	+0.068%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.44 (69.5%)	DraftKings🎯 3.28 (30.5%)	+0.068%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.44 (69.5%)	DraftKings🎯 3.28 (30.5%)	+0.068%

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