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Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.14%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.10%
Преимущество -0.782%
Kelly -2.69%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.41
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.44%69.99%70.04%71.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.361.361.4176.92%73.53%73.53%70.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
St. Louis Cardinals (Гости)
Прогноз 29.86%3.35справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.02%
Преимущество +0.874%
Kelly +1.23%
Рост +0.037%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.27%30.01%29.96%32.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.193.223.4534.48%31.30%31.06%28.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 70.14%; St. Louis Cardinals (Гости): 29.86%. Для исхода «St. Louis Cardinals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.35. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.45, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.02%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%EV +1.52%E +0.448%K +0.634%G +0.010% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.95%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 29.05%EV +0.627%E +0.186%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV +0.328%E +0.098%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 22:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.030%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.46%E -0.443%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 22:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.15%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.85%EV -1.76%E -0.536%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.87%EV -1.10%E -0.782%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 30.13%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-21 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.36%E -0.721%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.66%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 21:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -2.50%E -1.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.05%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:37 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.21%E -2.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.91%E -2.85%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 22:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 20:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97% | -0.1% | 2026-08-21 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 22:40 |