The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-22 22:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 54.57%1.83fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%54.66%54.55%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.751.8060.24%57.41%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 45.43%2.20fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%45.34%45.45%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.50%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 54.57%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 45.43%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.25, producing a positive expected value of +2.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +2.22%E +0.988%K +1.78%G +0.040%1.9%2026-08-21 23:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.048%E -0.022%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.048%E -0.022%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -0.956%E -0.439%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 01:00
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:24
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:34
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 22:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 21:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.68%E -1.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:04
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:03
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:50
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:54
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:09
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:09
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:04
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.23%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.33%E -4.96%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.13%E -4.57%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.42%E -5.67%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.13%E -4.57%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-21 23:40
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-21 21:00
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-22 00:24
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-08-22 01:00
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-08-21 21:55

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