Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-22 22:06 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 54.57%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.988%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.05%54.66%54.55%56.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.751.8060.24%57.41%57.14%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.43%2.20cote équitable
EV +2.22%
Avantage +0.988%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.59%45.34%45.45%45.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.50%47.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 54.57% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 45.43%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.20. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.25, pour une espérance positive de +2.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +2.22%E +0.988%K +1.78%G +0.040%1.9%2026-08-21 23:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.048%E -0.022%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.048%E -0.022%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -0.956%E -0.439%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 01:00
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:24
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:34
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 22:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 21:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.68%E -1.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:04
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:03
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:50
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:54
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:09
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:09
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:04
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.23%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.33%E -4.96%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.13%E -4.57%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.42%E -5.67%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.13%E -4.57%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-21 23:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-21 21:00
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-08-22 01:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-08-22 01:09
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-08-21 21:55

Discutez de ce match sur odds.forum

Aucun commentaire publié pour le moment.