Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-22 22:06 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 54.57%1.83odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.988%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.05%54.66%54.55%56.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.741.751.8060.24%57.41%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 45.43%2.20odd justa
EV +2.22%
Vantagem +0.988%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.59%45.34%45.45%45.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.50%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 54.57%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 45.43%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.20. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.25, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +2.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +2.22%E +0.988%K +1.78%G +0.040%1.9%2026-08-21 23:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.048%E -0.022%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.048%E -0.022%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -0.956%E -0.439%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 01:00
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:24
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.988%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:34
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 22:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 21:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.68%E -1.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:04
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:03
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:50
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:54
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:09
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:09
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:04
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.23%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.33%E -4.96%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.13%E -4.57%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.42%E -5.67%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.13%E -4.57%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-21 23:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-21 21:00
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-08-22 01:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-08-22 01:09
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-08-21 21:55

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