默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v St. Louis Cardinals

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 22:06 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 12–3 St. Louis Cardinals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 59.31%1.69公平赔率
EV -0.954%
优势 -0.572%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.85%59.27%59.39%60.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.14%62.50%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

St. Louis Cardinals (客队)

预测 40.69%2.46公平赔率
EV +1.32%
优势 +0.531%
Kelly +0.887%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
39.24%40.73%40.61%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.362.372.4945.45%42.44%42.19%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):59.31%;St. Louis Cardinals (客队):40.69%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.49,对应+1.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56%EV +1.32%E +0.531%K +0.887%G +0.012%1.5%2026-08-22 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.306%E -0.125%K -0.211%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-22 21:35
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.306%E -0.125%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 22:04
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.73%E -1.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -0.713%E -0.292%K -0.495%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.12%E -0.461%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 22:04
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.73%E -1.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.12%E -0.461%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Everygame🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.12%E -0.461%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.12%E -0.461%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.12%E -0.461%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.12%E -0.461%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.53%E -0.631%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.73%E -1.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.53%E -0.631%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.73%E -1.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.53%E -0.631%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 21:35
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.93%E -0.802%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 19:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.34%E -0.975%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.34%E -0.975%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.34%E -0.975%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.34%E -0.975%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:24
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 19:15
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 20:25
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 20:25
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 20:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 19:14
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 21:35
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:04
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 21:39
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.19%E -2.23%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:24
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.19%E -2.23%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.73%E -1.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 22:04
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 22:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 21:39
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.26%E -6.05%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 22:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 21:54
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 22:04
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.954%E -0.572%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 22:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-22 22:05
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-22 22:04
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-22 21:45
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-22 22:05
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-22 22:05
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-22 22:05
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-22 22:05
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-08-22 22:05