Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 65.65%1.52fair odd
EV -0.866%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.58%65.63%65.59%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.52%68.49%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -0.390%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.37%34.41%35.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.21%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.65%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 34.35%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.390%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.866%E -0.573%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-06-04 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.14%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-04 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-04 15:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 16:38 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-04 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-04 15:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-04 15:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-04 16:48 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-04 15:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 16:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-04 15:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-04 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-04 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-04 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-04 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-04 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 16:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-04 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-04 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63% | -0.2% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 33.41% | 0.8% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-06-04 15:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-06-04 16:50 |