La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-06-04 17:06 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 6–4 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 65.65%1.52quota equa
EV -0.866%
Vantaggio -0.573%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.58%65.63%65.59%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.52%68.49%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.35%2.91quota equa
EV -0.390%
Vantaggio -0.135%
Kelly -0.205%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.33%34.37%34.41%35.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.21%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.866%E -0.573%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-04 16:29
theScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.6%2026-06-04 16:19
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 16:40
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 16:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 16:29
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.14%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 15:09
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:38
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:30
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-04 16:19
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 16:48
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:39
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 17:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 16:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:59
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:37
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:00
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:40
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 16:38
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 15:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-04 16:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63%-0.2%2026-06-04 17:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.41%0.8%2026-06-04 17:00
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-06-04 16:30
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-04 15:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-06-04 16:50