مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

البداية: 2026-06-04 17:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 6–4 San Diego Padres

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.65%1.52السعر العادل
EV -0.866%
الأفضلية -0.573%
Kelly -1.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.58%65.63%65.59%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.52%68.49%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Diego Padres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.35%2.91السعر العادل
EV -0.390%
الأفضلية -0.135%
Kelly -0.205%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.33%34.37%34.41%35.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.21%36.36%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.866%E -0.573%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-04 16:29
theScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.6%2026-06-04 16:19
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 16:40
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 16:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 16:29
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.14%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 15:09
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:38
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:30
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-04 16:19
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 16:48
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:39
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 17:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 16:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:59
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:37
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:00
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:40
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 16:38
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 15:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-04 16:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63%-0.2%2026-06-04 17:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.41%0.8%2026-06-04 17:00
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-06-04 16:30
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-04 15:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-06-04 16:50