L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-04 17:06 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 6–4 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 65.65%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.866%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.58%65.63%65.59%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.52%68.49%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.35%2.91cote équitable
EV -0.390%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.205%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.37%34.41%35.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.21%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.866%E -0.573%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-04 16:29
theScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.6%2026-06-04 16:19
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 16:40
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 16:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 16:29
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.14%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 15:09
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:38
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:30
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-04 16:19
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 16:48
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:39
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 17:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 16:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:59
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:37
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:00
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:40
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 16:38
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 15:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-04 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63%-0.2%2026-06-04 17:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.41%0.8%2026-06-04 17:00
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-06-04 16:30
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-04 15:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-06-04 16:50