La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-06-04 17:06 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 6–4 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 65.65%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.866%
Ventaja -0.573%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.58%65.63%65.59%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.52%68.49%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 34.35%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.390%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.205%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.37%34.41%35.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.21%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.866%E -0.573%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-04 16:29
theScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.6%2026-06-04 16:19
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 16:40
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 16:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.45%E -0.863%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 16:39
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.18%E -1.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 16:29
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.14%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 15:09
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:38
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:30
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-04 16:19
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:09
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 16:48
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:39
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.49%E -2.38%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.95%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 17:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.390%E -0.135%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 16:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:59
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:37
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:39
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:00
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:40
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.80%E -3.31%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.11%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 16:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.77%E -4.77%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 16:38
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 15:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-04 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63%-0.2%2026-06-04 17:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-04 17:00
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.41%0.8%2026-06-04 17:00
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-06-04 16:30
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-04 15:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-06-04 16:30
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-06-04 16:50