Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 65.14%1.54fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.16%65.09%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5171.43%68.54%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 34.86%2.87fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.84%34.91%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.31%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.14%; New York Yankees (Visit): 34.86%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV +0.741%E +0.256%K +0.392%G +0.003% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.305%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.64%E -1.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.05%E -0.729%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-26 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.79%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-26 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 22:32 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 22:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 23:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 23:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63% | -0.2% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-07-26 23:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
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