默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees

开赛时间: 2026-07-26 23:21 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 11–4 New York Yankees

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 65.14%1.54公平赔率
EV -1.64%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -3.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
63.41%65.16%65.09%66.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.461.451.5171.43%68.54%68.97%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 34.86%2.87公平赔率
EV +1.09%
优势 +0.376%
Kelly +0.573%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
33.18%34.84%34.91%36.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.31%36.36%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):65.14%;New York Yankees (客队):34.86%。 对于“New York Yankees (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.87。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.90,对应+1.09%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006%3.9%2026-07-26 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006%3.9%2026-07-26 23:20
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV +0.741%E +0.256%K +0.392%G +0.003%2.2%2026-07-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001%4.7%2026-07-26 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001%4.7%2026-07-26 22:55
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.305%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 22:55
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 23:09
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.64%E -1.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.05%E -0.729%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-26 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 22:35
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 23:04
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.79%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 22:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 19:15
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 23:00
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:19
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 22:55
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 23:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 23:20
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 22:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:19
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 22:32
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 22:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 20:55
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 23:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 23:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63%-0.2%2026-07-26 23:10
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-07-26 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-07-26 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-07-26 23:20
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-26 23:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-26 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-26 23:20
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-07-26 23:20
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-07-26 23:21
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%3.0%2026-07-26 23:20