L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees

2026-07-26 23:21 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 59.21%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.670%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.23%59.22%59.19%60.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.611.611.6764.94%62.08%62.11%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.79%2.45cote équitable
EV +0.342%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.234%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.71%40.78%40.81%41.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.342.4645.45%42.73%42.64%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +0.342%E +0.139%K +0.234%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-26 01:50
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.30%E -1.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.29%E -0.533%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 20:25
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.30%E -1.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.11%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.30%E -1.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.11%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 19:40
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.89%E -1.77%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.11%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 01:25
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.11%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 21:05
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.11%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 01:44
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.12%E -0.670%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.92%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 22:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.04%E -4.48%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.92%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 01:04
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 21:34
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 00:44
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.30%E -1.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 21:35
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.49%E -2.14%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 19:40
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:54
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 01:20
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 01:25
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 01:24
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 01:24
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 19:40
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 21:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:59
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 23:25
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:45
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:45
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.86%E -3.68%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:45
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 21:35
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:59
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:24
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:24
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:24
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:24
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:24
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:39
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:30
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 01:24
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 01:20
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 01:25
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.86%E -3.68%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 18:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 21:29
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.30%E -1.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 01:05
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.49%E -2.14%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 01:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 01:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 01:09
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:33
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:30
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 01:34
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.86%E -3.68%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:24
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.04%E -4.48%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:24
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.63%E -4.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.22%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 23:24
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.82%E -5.72%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.26%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-07-26 01:49
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-25 20:45
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-25 22:35
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-07-26 01:45
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-26 01:49
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-07-26 01:45
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%9.1%2026-07-26 01:45