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Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 65.14%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.16%65.09%66.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5171.43%68.54%68.97%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Yankees (Visitante)
Predicción 34.86%2.87momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.573%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.18%34.84%34.91%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.31%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.14%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 34.86%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.87. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV +0.741%E +0.256%K +0.392%G +0.003% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.305%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.64%E -1.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.05%E -0.729%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-26 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.79%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-26 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 22:32 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 22:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 23:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 23:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63% | -0.2% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-07-26 23:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 23:20 |