Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees

Początek: 2026-07-26 23:21 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Philadelphia Phillies 11–4 New York Yankees

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.14%1.54kurs godziwy
EV -1.64%
Przewaga -1.08%
Kelly -3.21%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.41%65.16%65.09%66.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.461.451.5171.43%68.54%68.97%66.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

New York Yankees (Goście)

Prognoza 34.86%2.87kurs godziwy
EV +1.09%
Przewaga +0.376%
Kelly +0.573%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.18%34.84%34.91%36.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.31%36.36%34.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 65.14%; New York Yankees (Goście): 34.86%. Dla wyniku New York Yankees (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.87. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.90, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.09%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006%3.9%2026-07-26 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.09%E +0.376%K +0.573%G +0.006%3.9%2026-07-26 23:20
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV +0.741%E +0.256%K +0.392%G +0.003%2.2%2026-07-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001%4.7%2026-07-26 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +0.392%E +0.136%K +0.209%G +0.001%4.7%2026-07-26 22:55
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.305%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 22:55
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 23:09
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.654%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:55
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.64%E -1.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.05%E -0.729%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-26 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 22:35
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 23:04
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.79%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 22:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 19:15
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 23:00
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:19
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 22:55
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 23:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 23:20
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 22:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 23:19
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 22:32
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 22:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.24%E -2.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.20%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 20:55
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 23:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 23:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63%-0.2%2026-07-26 23:10
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-07-26 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-07-26 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-07-26 23:20
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-26 23:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-26 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-26 23:20
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-07-26 23:20
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-07-26 23:21
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%3.0%2026-07-26 23:20