The School of Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

2026-07-19 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 45.91%2.18fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.99%45.88%45.95%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.082.1450%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 54.09%1.85fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.855%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.12%54.05%55.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8259%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.75%E -0.819%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.10%E -1.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 21:10
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.75%E -0.819%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 20:15
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.56%E -0.855%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 21:00
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.10%E -1.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.10%E -1.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 21:10
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.10%E -1.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 21:10
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 20:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.26%E -2.41%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:15
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.26%E -2.41%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 21:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.26%E -2.41%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.97%E -4.05%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:15
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.05%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:15
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.26%E -2.41%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:15
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.80%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 20:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:15
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.97%E -2.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 20:15
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.97%E -2.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.80%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:14
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.97%E -2.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.80%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:15
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.43%E -2.63%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.80%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:10
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.26%E -2.41%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.26%E -2.41%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.80%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.80%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 20:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:39
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:38
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 21:04
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 20:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.05%E -4.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 20:15
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22%EV -8.64%E -4.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-07-18 21:00
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-18 18:10
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-18 20:55
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%3.0%2026-07-18 21:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%9.3%2026-07-18 21:25