StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-19 17:36 UTC

Endstand: Philadelphia Phillies 1–6 New York Mets

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies (Heim)

Prognose 46.67%2.14faire Quote
EV -0.131%
Vorteil -0.061%
Kelly -0.115%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.65%46.61%46.72%47.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.982.062.052.1450.51%48.51%48.78%46.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.33%1.88faire Quote
EV -1.33%
Vorteil -0.722%
Kelly -1.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.22%53.39%53.28%55.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.661.771.771.8560.24%56.56%56.50%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Philadelphia Phillies (Heim): 46.67%; New York Mets (Auswärts): 53.33%. Für Philadelphia Phillies (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.143. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.140, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.131%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:15
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:09
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:15
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:14
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 05:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.722%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:34
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 17:30
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 17:24
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:35
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 14:55
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 17:35
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 17:30
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 17:30
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:10
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 17:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:30
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:23
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.60%E -3.84%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 17:33
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-07-19 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:25
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 16:10
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 17:25
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-19 17:35
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-19 17:35
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-07-19 17:35