مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

البداية: 2026-07-19 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 1–6 New York Mets

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.67%2.14السعر العادل
EV -0.131%
الأفضلية -0.061%
Kelly -0.115%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.65%46.61%46.72%47.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.982.062.052.1450.51%48.51%48.78%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Mets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.33%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.722%
Kelly -1.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.22%53.39%53.28%55.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.771.771.8560.24%56.56%56.50%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:15
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:09
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 17:15
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:15
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:14
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 05:04
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.722%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:34
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 17:10
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 17:30
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:10
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 14:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 16:25
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 17:30
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 17:35
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 17:24
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 17:30
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:35
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:25
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 14:55
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 17:35
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 17:30
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 17:30
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 14:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 17:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:25
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:23
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.60%E -3.84%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 17:33
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-07-19 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:25
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 16:10
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 17:25
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-19 17:35
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-19 17:35
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-07-19 17:35