A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

Início: 2026-07-19 17:36 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 1–6 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 46.67%2.14odd justa
EV -0.131%
Vantagem -0.061%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.65%46.61%46.72%47.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.982.062.052.1450.51%48.51%48.78%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 53.33%1.88odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.722%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%53.39%53.28%55.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.661.771.771.8560.24%56.56%56.50%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 17:05
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:15
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:09
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 17:15
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:15
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 17:14
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 05:04
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.722%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:34
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 17:10
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 17:30
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:10
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 14:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 16:25
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 17:30
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 17:35
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 17:24
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 17:30
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:35
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:25
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 14:55
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 15:35
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 17:35
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 17:30
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 17:30
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 14:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 17:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:25
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:23
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.60%E -3.84%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 17:33
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-07-19 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-19 17:25
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 16:10
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-19 17:25
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-19 17:35
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-19 17:35
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-07-19 17:35