Idioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 46.67%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.131%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.65%46.61%46.72%47.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.062.052.1450.51%48.51%48.78%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 53.33%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.722%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.22%53.39%53.28%55.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.771.771.8560.24%56.56%56.50%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 46.67%; New York Mets (Visitante): 53.33%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.143. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.140, con un valor esperado de -0.131%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.131%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.06%E -0.502%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.53%E -0.726%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-19 17:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 05:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.33%E -0.722%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 17:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-19 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-19 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.13%E -3.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 17:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.60%E -3.84%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 17:33 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23% | -0.1% | 2026-07-19 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 17:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 2.0% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.9% | 2026-07-19 17:35 |