Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 66.21%1.51fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%66.19%66.27%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.40%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 33.79%2.96fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.455%
Kelly +0.682%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.81%33.73%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.39%35.15%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 66.21%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 33.79%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +1.36%E +0.455%K +0.682%G +0.009% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.00%E -0.342%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.34%E -0.902%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 22:21 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 20:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -6.41%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.63%E -6.25%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89% | 0.0% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 17:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |