StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

Endstand: Philadelphia Phillies 6–4 Miami Marlins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Philadelphia Phillies (Heim)

Prognose 66.21%1.51faire Quote
EV -1.34%
Vorteil -0.902%
Kelly -2.74%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.16%66.19%66.27%67.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.40%69.44%67.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.79%2.96faire Quote
EV +1.36%
Vorteil +0.455%
Kelly +0.682%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.56%33.81%33.73%35.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.39%35.15%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Philadelphia Phillies (Heim): 66.21%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 33.79%. Für Miami Marlins (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.96. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.36%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +1.36%E +0.455%K +0.682%G +0.009%0.9%2026-08-18 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-18 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 14:45
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.00%E -0.342%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.34%E -0.902%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 21:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 14:44
Everygame🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 22:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 15:39
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 15:50
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 19:00
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:45
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 22:40
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 21:30
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 15:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:30
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 20:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:05
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -6.41%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 21:10
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 22:38
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.63%E -6.25%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 22:38
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89%0.0%2026-08-18 22:39
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-18 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 17:45
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 14:20
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-08-18 22:35