Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 6–4 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 66.21%1.51odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.902%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.16%66.19%66.27%67.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.40%69.44%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 33.79%2.96odd justa
EV +1.36%
Vantagem +0.455%
Kelly +0.682%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.56%33.81%33.73%35.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.39%35.15%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 66.21%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 33.79%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.96. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +1.36%E +0.455%K +0.682%G +0.009%0.9%2026-08-18 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-18 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 14:45
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.00%E -0.342%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:45
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.34%E -0.902%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 21:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 14:44
Everygame🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 22:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 15:39
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 15:50
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 19:00
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:45
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 22:40
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 21:30
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 15:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:30
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 20:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:05
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -6.41%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 21:10
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 22:38
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.63%E -6.25%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 22:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89%0.0%2026-08-18 22:39
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-08-18 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 17:45
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 14:20
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-18 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-08-18 22:35