语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 66.21%1.51公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.902%
Kelly -2.74%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.49
博彩公司预测分布
64.16%66.19%66.27%67.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.40%69.44%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Miami Marlins (客队)
预测 33.79%2.96公平赔率
EV +1.36%
优势 +0.455%
Kelly +0.682%
增长率 +0.009%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
32.56%33.81%33.73%35.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.39%35.15%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：66.21%；Miami Marlins (客队)：33.79%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.96。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.00，对应+1.36%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +1.36%E +0.455%K +0.682%G +0.009% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.00%E -0.342%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.34%E -0.902%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 22:21 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 20:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -6.41%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.63%E -6.25%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89% | 0.0% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 17:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |