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Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)
Прогноз 66.21%1.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.34%
Преимущество -0.902%
Kelly -2.74%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.49
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.16%66.19%66.27%67.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.40%69.44%67.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Miami Marlins (Гости)
Прогноз 33.79%2.96справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.36%
Преимущество +0.455%
Kelly +0.682%
Рост +0.009%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.56%33.81%33.73%35.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.39%35.15%33.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 66.21%; Miami Marlins (Гости): 33.79%. Для исхода «Miami Marlins (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.96. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.36%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +1.36%E +0.455%K +0.682%G +0.009% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -0.664%E -0.226%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.00%E -0.342%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.02%E -0.695%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.69%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.34%E -0.902%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 22:21 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 20:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.67%E -1.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -6.41%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.98%E -4.21%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.22%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.63%E -6.25%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.01%E -1.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.32%E -3.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 22:38 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89% | 0.0% | 2026-08-18 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 17:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |