Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 17:06 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 1–0 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 62.75%1.59fair odd
EV +0.406%
Edge +0.254%
Kelly +0.676%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.32%62.86%63.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 37.25%2.68fair odd
EV +0.565%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.06%37.68%37.14%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.552.7043.48%39.68%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 62.75%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 37.25%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.565%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV +0.406%E +0.254%K +0.676%G +0.003%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -0.849%E -0.537%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:05
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 17:00
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +0.565%E +0.209%K +0.332%G +0.002%2.4%2026-09-07 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -0.925%E -0.348%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:03
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.00%E -3.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 17:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-07 17:04
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-07 17:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-07 17:05
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-09-07 17:05
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-09-07 17:05
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-09-07 17:05