默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间: 2026-09-07 17:06 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 1–0 Atlanta Braves

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 62.75%1.59公平赔率
EV +0.406%
优势 +0.254%
Kelly +0.676%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
59.74%62.32%62.86%63.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 37.25%2.68公平赔率
EV +0.565%
优势 +0.209%
Kelly +0.332%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
36.06%37.68%37.14%40.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.522.552.7043.48%39.68%39.22%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):62.75%;Atlanta Braves (客队):37.25%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.68。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.70,对应+0.565%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV +0.406%E +0.254%K +0.676%G +0.003%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -0.849%E -0.537%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:05
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 17:00
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +0.565%E +0.209%K +0.332%G +0.002%2.4%2026-09-07 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -0.925%E -0.348%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:03
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.00%E -3.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 17:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-07 17:04
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-07 17:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-07 17:05
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-09-07 17:05
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-09-07 17:05
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-09-07 17:05