Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 17:06 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 1–0 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 62.75%1.59cote équitable
EV +0.406%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.676%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%62.32%62.86%63.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.25%2.68cote équitable
EV +0.565%
Avantage +0.209%
Kelly +0.332%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.06%37.68%37.14%40.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.552.7043.48%39.68%39.22%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 62.75% ; Atlanta Braves (Visiteur) : 37.25%. Pour Atlanta Braves (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.68. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.70, soit une espérance positive de +0.565%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV +0.406%E +0.254%K +0.676%G +0.003%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -0.849%E -0.537%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:05
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 17:00
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +0.565%E +0.209%K +0.332%G +0.002%2.4%2026-09-07 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -0.925%E -0.348%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:03
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.00%E -3.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 17:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-07 17:04
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-07 17:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-07 17:05
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-09-07 17:05
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-09-07 17:05
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-09-07 17:05