Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Начало: 2026-09-07 17:06 UTC

Итог: Philadelphia Phillies 1–0 Atlanta Braves

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.75%1.59справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.406%
Преимущество +0.254%
Kelly +0.676%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.74%62.32%62.86%63.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Atlanta Braves (Гости)

Прогноз 37.25%2.68справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.565%
Преимущество +0.209%
Kelly +0.332%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.06%37.68%37.14%40.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.522.552.7043.48%39.68%39.22%37.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 62.75%; Atlanta Braves (Гости): 37.25%. Для исхода «Atlanta Braves (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.68. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.565%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV +0.406%E +0.254%K +0.676%G +0.003%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -0.849%E -0.537%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 16:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:05
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 17:00
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 17:00
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.33%E -6.23%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.41%E -0.922%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +0.565%E +0.209%K +0.332%G +0.002%2.4%2026-09-07 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 17:05
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -3.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:05
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.61%E -3.04%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -0.925%E -0.348%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:03
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.00%E -3.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 17:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.16%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-07 17:04
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-09-07 17:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-07 17:05
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-09-07 17:05
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-09-07 17:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-09-07 17:05
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-09-07 17:05