Language:English
New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 71.16%1.41fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.786%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.97%71.28%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3976.92%74.89%75.19%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV +0.953%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.381%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%29.03%28.72%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.06%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 71.16%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 28.84%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.953%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.489%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.35%E -0.396%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.09%E -0.786%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 17:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.39%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -1.80%E -1.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91% | -0.2% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02% | -0.0% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |