L’École des cotes

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 11–3 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 71.16%1.41cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.786%
Kelly -2.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.97%71.28%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.331.3976.92%74.89%75.19%71.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.84%3.47cote équitable
EV +0.953%
Avantage +0.272%
Kelly +0.381%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%29.03%28.72%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.06%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:34
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.489%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:20
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.35%E -0.396%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 17:15
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:05
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:04
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:35
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.09%E -0.786%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 17:15
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 17:25
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:33
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 16:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:10
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.39%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 17:35
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -1.80%E -1.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 17:34
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91%-0.2%2026-05-03 17:34
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02%-0.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-05-03 17:35