La scuola delle quote

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

Finale: New York Yankees 11–3 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Yankees (Casa)

Previsione 71.16%1.41quota equa
EV -1.09%
Vantaggio -0.786%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%70.97%71.28%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.331.3976.92%74.89%75.19%71.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.84%3.47quota equa
EV +0.953%
Vantaggio +0.272%
Kelly +0.381%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.54%29.03%28.72%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.06%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:34
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.489%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:20
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.35%E -0.396%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 17:15
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:05
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:04
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:35
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.09%E -0.786%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 17:15
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 17:25
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:33
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 16:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:10
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.39%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 17:35
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -1.80%E -1.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 17:34
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91%-0.2%2026-05-03 17:34
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02%-0.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-05-03 17:35