La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 11–3 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 71.16%1.41momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.786%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.97%71.28%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.331.3976.92%74.89%75.19%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 28.84%3.47momio equitativo
EV +0.953%
Ventaja +0.272%
Kelly +0.381%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%29.03%28.72%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.06%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:34
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.489%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:20
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.35%E -0.396%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 17:15
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:05
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:04
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:35
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.09%E -0.786%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 17:15
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 17:25
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:33
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 16:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:10
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.39%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 17:35
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -1.80%E -1.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 17:34
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91%-0.2%2026-05-03 17:34
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02%-0.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-05-03 17:35