مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Yankees 11–3 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Yankees (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.16%1.41السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.786%
Kelly -2.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.81%70.97%71.28%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.341.331.3976.92%74.89%75.19%71.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.84%3.47السعر العادل
EV +0.953%
الأفضلية +0.272%
Kelly +0.381%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.54%29.03%28.72%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.06%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.953%E +0.272%K +0.381%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-03 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:34
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.489%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:20
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.35%E -0.396%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 17:15
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:05
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 16:04
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.93%E -0.568%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.51%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:35
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.09%E -0.786%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 17:15
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 17:25
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:33
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:25
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 16:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.60%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:10
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.39%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 17:35
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -1.80%E -1.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 17:34
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.52%E -1.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.23%E -2.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91%-0.2%2026-05-03 17:34
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02%-0.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-05-03 17:35