Language:English
New York Mets v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 46.94%2.13fair odd
EV -0.496%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.443%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.91%46.76%48.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 53.06%1.88fair odd
EV +0.291%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.327%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.66%53.09%53.24%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8957.47%55.58%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 46.94%; New York Yankees (Visit): 53.06%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.291%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV +0.291%E +0.154%K +0.327%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.239%E -0.127%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.770%E -0.412%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 20:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 22:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 23:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 21:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 21:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 21:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.48%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.496%E -0.234%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.60%E -3.32%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | -0.0% | 2026-05-16 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 23:15 |