La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-05-16 23:16 UTC

Final: New York Mets 6–3 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 46.94%2.13momio equitativo
EV -0.496%
Ventaja -0.234%
Kelly -0.443%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%46.91%46.76%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 53.06%1.88momio equitativo
EV +0.291%
Ventaja +0.154%
Kelly +0.327%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.66%53.09%53.24%54.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.801.801.8957.47%55.58%55.56%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV +0.291%E +0.154%K +0.327%G +0.001%2.4%2026-05-16 19:10
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.239%E -0.127%K -0.272%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.770%E -0.412%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:05
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 20:20
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 22:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 13:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:14
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 18:15
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 21:05
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:19
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 13:45
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 15:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:59
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:34
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.48%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 20:50
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.496%E -0.234%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 20:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 20:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:15
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.60%E -3.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:05
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-05-16 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 19:50
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 21:25
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%7.2%2026-05-16 23:15