L’École des cotes

New York Mets v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 23:16 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 6–3 New York Yankees

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 46.94%2.13cote équitable
EV -0.496%
Avantage -0.234%
Kelly -0.443%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%46.91%46.76%48.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.06%1.88cote équitable
EV +0.291%
Avantage +0.154%
Kelly +0.327%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.66%53.09%53.24%54.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.801.801.8957.47%55.58%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV +0.291%E +0.154%K +0.327%G +0.001%2.4%2026-05-16 19:10
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.239%E -0.127%K -0.272%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.770%E -0.412%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:05
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 20:20
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 22:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 13:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:14
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 18:15
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 21:05
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:19
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 13:45
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 15:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:59
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:34
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.48%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 20:50
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.496%E -0.234%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 20:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 20:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:15
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.60%E -3.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:05
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-05-16 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 19:50
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 21:25
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%7.2%2026-05-16 23:15