مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-05-16 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 6–3 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.94%2.13السعر العادل
EV -0.496%
الأفضلية -0.234%
Kelly -0.443%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.74%46.91%46.76%48.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.06%1.88السعر العادل
EV +0.291%
الأفضلية +0.154%
Kelly +0.327%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.66%53.09%53.24%54.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.801.801.8957.47%55.58%55.56%52.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV +0.291%E +0.154%K +0.327%G +0.001%2.4%2026-05-16 19:10
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.239%E -0.127%K -0.272%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.770%E -0.412%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:05
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 20:20
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 22:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 13:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:14
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 18:15
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 21:05
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:19
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 13:45
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 15:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:59
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:34
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.48%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 20:50
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.496%E -0.234%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 20:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 20:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:15
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.60%E -3.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:05
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-05-16 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 19:50
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 21:25
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%7.2%2026-05-16 23:15