A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-05-16 23:16 UTC

Final: New York Mets 6–3 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 46.94%2.13odd justa
EV -0.496%
Vantagem -0.234%
Kelly -0.443%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.74%46.91%46.76%48.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 53.06%1.88odd justa
EV +0.291%
Vantagem +0.154%
Kelly +0.327%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.66%53.09%53.24%54.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.801.801.8957.47%55.58%55.56%52.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV +0.291%E +0.154%K +0.327%G +0.001%2.4%2026-05-16 19:10
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.239%E -0.127%K -0.272%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.770%E -0.412%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:05
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 20:20
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 22:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 13:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:14
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 18:15
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 21:05
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:19
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 13:45
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 15:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:59
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:34
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.48%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 20:50
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.496%E -0.234%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 20:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 20:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:15
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.43%E -0.683%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.60%E -3.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:05
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-05-16 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 19:50
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-16 21:25
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%7.2%2026-05-16 23:15