Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 44.69%2.24fair odd
EV -0.345%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.280%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.68%44.74%46.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.142.152.2349.02%46.71%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 55.31%1.81fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.667%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.40%55.32%55.26%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.721.8360.98%57.84%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 44.69%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 55.31%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +1.22%E +0.667%K +1.47%G +0.018% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.439%E -0.244%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.84%E -4.33%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.55%E -0.868%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.345%E -0.155%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.791%E -0.356%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.94%E -3.86%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.63%E -4.57%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 23:03 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.29%E -5.66%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |