Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-15 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 42.56%2.35fair odd
EV +0.440%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.324%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.58%42.50%42.60%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.242.3647.62%44.74%44.64%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 57.44%1.74fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.50%57.40%58.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.34%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Twins (Local): 42.56%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 57.44%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.36, producing a positive expected value of +0.440%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.440%E +0.187%K +0.324%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.50%E -2.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.411%E -0.176%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.50%E -2.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.411%E -0.176%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.50%E -2.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:49
DraftKings🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.96%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.22%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:04
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.20%E -0.699%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 18:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.07%E -2.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.22%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:04
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.22%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.80%E -3.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.52%E -4.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:04
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.09%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.80%E -3.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:04
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.52%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.07%E -2.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:54
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.07%E -2.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.07%E -2.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.07%E -2.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.07%E -2.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.07%E -2.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.22%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.22%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:49
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.52%E -4.67%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.67%E -5.45%K -14.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.63%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.24%E -5.85%K -15.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%0.1%2026-08-14 17:45
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-14 18:40
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.26%9.8%2026-08-14 18:04
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%10.1%2026-08-14 19:20

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