預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-15 23:11 UTC — MLB

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Minnesota Twins (主隊)

預測 42.45%2.36公平賠率

EV +0.177%

優勢 +0.075%

Kelly +0.130%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.36

博彩公司預測分布

41.58%42.40%42.38%43.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.102.242.252.3647.62%44.64%44.44%42.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客隊)

預測 57.55%1.74公平賠率

EV -1.01%

優勢 -0.588%

Kelly -1.40%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.72

博彩公司預測分布

56.14%57.60%57.62%58.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.581.651.651.7263.29%60.43%60.61%58.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Minnesota Twins (主隊)：42.45%；Philadelphia Phillies (客隊)：57.55%。對於「Minnesota Twins (主隊)」，該估計相當於2.356的公平十進位賠率。有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率；目前最佳賠率為2.360，因此產生+0.177%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	利潤率	更新時間
GTbets🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.177%E +0.075%K +0.130%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-14 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.672%E -0.287%K -0.501%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-14 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.672%E -0.287%K -0.501%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-14 17:49
DraftKings🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.79%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-14 20:30
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.64%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.01%E -0.588%K -1.40%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-14 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-14 17:54
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-14 18:04
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-14 17:49
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 18:04
PlayUp🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 18:04
Bet Victor🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-14 18:04
FanDuel🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-14 17:45
Bet Right🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-14 20:29
Bovada🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-14 20:29
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 18:04
Fliff🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-14 17:45
SportsBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-14 17:49
Paddy Power🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-14 17:49
ReBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-14 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.74%E -4.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-14 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.74%E -4.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.49%E -5.34%K -14.39%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.63%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-14 18:04

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Polymarket◎	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	1.1%	2026-08-14 20:34
Kalshi◎	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	1.1%	2026-08-14 20:20
Smarkets◎	2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%	1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%	10.1%	2026-08-14 20:05
Novig◎	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%	10.2%	2026-08-14 20:20

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