默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-15 23:11 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 42.45%2.36公平赔率
EV +0.177%
优势 +0.075%
Kelly +0.130%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布
41.58%42.40%42.38%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.242.252.3647.62%44.64%44.44%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 57.55%1.74公平赔率
EV -1.01%
优势 -0.588%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
56.14%57.60%57.62%58.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.651.651.7263.29%60.43%60.61%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Minnesota Twins (主队):42.45%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):57.55%。 对于“Minnesota Twins (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.356。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.360,由此产生+0.177%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.177%E +0.075%K +0.130%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.672%E -0.287%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.672%E -0.287%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:49
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.79%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:30
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.64%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.01%E -0.588%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 18:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 17:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:04
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:04
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 20:29
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 20:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:04
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:49
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.61%E -3.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.74%E -4.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.31%E -1.97%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.74%E -4.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.49%E -5.34%K -14.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 18:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-14 20:34
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-14 20:20
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%10.1%2026-08-14 20:05
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%10.2%2026-08-14 20:20

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