默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 23:11 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Twins 1–9 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 44.69%2.24公平赔率
EV -0.345%
优势 -0.155%
Kelly -0.280%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%44.68%44.74%46.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.142.152.2349.02%46.71%46.51%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 55.31%1.81公平赔率
EV +1.22%
优势 +0.667%
Kelly +1.47%
增长率 +0.018%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
53.40%55.32%55.26%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.731.721.8360.98%57.84%58.14%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Twins (主队):44.69%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):55.31%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.81。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.83,对应+1.22%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +1.22%E +0.667%K +1.47%G +0.018%2.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.439%E -0.244%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 18:09
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:49
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 22:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.84%E -4.33%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.55%E -0.868%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
BetAnything🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 20:14
theScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:09
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.345%E -0.155%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 20:29
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 20:30
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 15:54
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 20:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 20:33
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 16:24
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 20:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 20:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:29
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:55
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:24
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:29
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:49
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 23:10
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:29
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.791%E -0.356%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:34
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.94%E -3.86%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 22:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.63%E -4.57%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 22:59
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 23:03
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.29%E -5.66%K -14.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 20:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84%0.2%2026-08-15 22:49
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-08-15 23:10
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-15 23:09
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-15 17:19
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-15 18:14
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-08-15 23:10