Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 23:11 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 1–9 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 44.69%2.24cote équitable
EV -0.345%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.280%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.68%44.74%46.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.142.152.2349.02%46.71%46.51%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.31%1.81cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.667%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.40%55.32%55.26%56.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.641.731.721.8360.98%57.84%58.14%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Minnesota Twins (Local) : 44.69% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 55.31%. Pour Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.81. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.83, soit une espérance positive de +1.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +1.22%E +0.667%K +1.47%G +0.018%2.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.439%E -0.244%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 18:09
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:49
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.993%E -0.554%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 22:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.84%E -4.33%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.55%E -0.868%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.10%E -1.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
BetAnything🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 20:14
theScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:09
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.345%E -0.155%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 20:29
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 20:30
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 15:54
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 20:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 20:33
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.76%E -2.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 16:24
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 20:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 20:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:29
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:55
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:24
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:29
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:49
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 23:10
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:04
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:29
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.791%E -0.356%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:34
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.94%E -3.86%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.08%E -4.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 22:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.69%E -0.766%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.63%E -4.57%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 22:59
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.74%E -5.29%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 23:03
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.29%E -5.66%K -14.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84%0.2%2026-08-15 22:49
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-08-15 23:10
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-15 23:10
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-15 23:09
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-15 17:19
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-15 18:14
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-08-15 23:10